Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.