Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).