Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
| 47.59% ( | 25.15% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( | 49.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( | 71.67% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( | 20.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( | 53.59% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( | 32.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( | 69.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.26% |