Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.