La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
1 - 1
Almeria

Uzuni (75')
Villar (4'), Gumbau (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pubill (9')
Robertone (77'), Pozo (90'), Radovanovic (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Granada
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Almeria
47.27% ( 0.06)	24.07% ( -0.18)	28.65% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

0.88)

44.1% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

0.85)

66.48% (

-0.85)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.37)

18.8% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

0.61)

50.22% (

-0.61)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

0.54)

28.65% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

0.66)

64.46% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Granada 47.27%

Almeria 28.65%

Draw 24.07%

Granada	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 47.27%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.65%