Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.