Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
20.58% ( 1.81) | 24.49% ( 0.71) | 54.92% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.02% ( -0.48) | 52.97% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% ( -0.41) | 74.57% ( 0.41) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 1.72) | 40.45% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 1.52) | 77.06% ( -1.52) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -1.13) | 19.2% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( -1.9) | 50.89% ( 1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |