Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 0
Luton

Odegaard (24'), Hashioka (44' og.)
Havertz (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Onyedinma (74')

Reaction

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their third goal on February 24, 2024

Mikel Arteta provides Bukayo Saka update after winger missed Luton Town win

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta is hopeful Bukayo Saka will be ready for Saturday's clash with Brighton & Hove Albion after missing the win over Luton Town through injury.

Apr 3, 23:22

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on April 3, 2024

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Mikel Arteta singles out Emile Smith Rowe for special praise after Arsenal ease to a 2-0 win over Luton Town to return to the Premier League summit.

Apr 3, 21:25

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 0-0 Arsenal
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Luton
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 85.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Luton Town
85.88% ( 0.08)	9.66% ( -0)	4.46% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.68% (

-0.47)

27.32% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.11% (

-0.59)

47.89% (

0.59)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.69% (

-0.06)

4.31% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.13% (

-0.21)

17.87% (

0.21)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.75% (

-0.71)

53.25% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.19% (

-0.46)

86.81% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 85.87%

Luton Town 4.46%

Draw 9.66%

Arsenal	Draw	Luton Town
3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.18% Total : 85.87%	1-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.56% Total : 9.66%	0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 4.46%