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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Martin Odegaard
24'
-
Daiki Hashioka
44'
-
Kai Havertz
66'
-
Fred Onyedinma
74'
Arsenal vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 85.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
85.88%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
9.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Luton Town
4.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
44.73%
▼
(-0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.68%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 2.5
27.32%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 3.5
52.11%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 3.5
47.89%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 4.5
32.7%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 4.5
67.3%
▲
(+0.56)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
95.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
4.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
82.13%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
17.87%
▲
(+0.21)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
46.75%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
53.25%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 1.5
13.19%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
86.81%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Arsenal
85.87%
Draw
9.66%
Luton Town
4.46%
Arsenal
3-0
@
11.89%
▲
(+0.17)
2-0 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.07)
7-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 85.87%
2-0 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.07)
7-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 85.87%
Draw
1-1
@
4.55%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 9.66%
0-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 9.66%
Luton Town
0-1
@
1.45%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 4.46%
1-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 4.46%
Head to Head
-
Gabriel Osho
25'
-
Jacob Brown
33'
-
Ross Barkley
44'
-
Elijah Adebayo
49'
-
Ross Barkley
57'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
20'
-
Gabriel Jesus
45'
-
Gabriel Jesus
45'+1'
-
Kai Havertz
60'
-
Declan Rice
90'+7'
-
Mikel Arteta
90'+8'
Build-up
Team News
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News
News
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