Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 0
Porto

(1-1 on aggregate)

Trossard (41')
Saliba (39'), Arteta (68'), Havertz (116')

FT
(aet)

Pepe (73'), Conceicao (78')

Arsenal win 4-2 on penalties

Reaction

Arsenal's Leandro Trossard scores their first goal on March 12, 2024

Leandro Trossard joins exclusive Arsenal club with Porto goal

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Mar 13, 15:45

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta and David Raya celebrate after the match on March 13, 2024

Mikel Arteta refuses to comment on Sergio Conceicao incident

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta refuses to comment on his post-match exchange with Porto manager Sergio Conceicao following the Gunners' dramatic penalty-shootout success.

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Porto
Friday, March 8 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Porto had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%).

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Porto
45.71% ( 2.43)	24.47% ( 0.03)	29.82% ( -2.45)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

-1.21)

45.23% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.43% (

-1.17)

67.57% (

1.17)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

0.56)

19.9% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

0.9)

52.02% (

-0.9)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-2.18)

28.41% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

-2.84)

64.16% (

2.84)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 45.71%

Porto 29.82%

Draw 24.47%

Arsenal	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.82%