Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto

Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Porto
11.08% ( 0.01)	18.35% ( 0.01)	70.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06% (

-0.02)

44.94% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

-0.02)

67.29% (

0.02)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.38% (

48.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

83.68% (

-0)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

-0.01)

11.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.66% (

-0.02)

36.34% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 11.08%

Porto 70.56%

Draw 18.35%

Portimonense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.08%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35%	0-2 @ 13.07% 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.56%