Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.06% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() | 56.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% (![]() | 45.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% (![]() | 67.9% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.26% (![]() | 35.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.49% (![]() | 72.51% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% (![]() | 16.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% (![]() | 45.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 10.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 69 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
4 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 46 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
11 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 32 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 18 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |