Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.