Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 43.12% ( | 26.74% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( | 25.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( | 59.78% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.13% |