Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Gil Vicente logo

Benfica
3 - 0
Gil Vicente

Cabral (15'), Neves (34'), Silva (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Castillo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawGil Vicente
73.5% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)10.46% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.58% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (0.154 0.15)35.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (0.168 0.17)57.86% (-0.171 -0.17)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.027999999999992 0.03)8.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3% (0.181 0.18)43.7% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12% (0.148 0.15)79.88% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 73.5%
    Gil Vicente 10.46%
    Draw 16.03%
BenficaDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 73.5%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.46%

How you voted: Benfica vs Gil Vicente

Benfica
92.6%
Draw
7.4%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Gil Vicente
2-3
Benfica
Chabrol (74'), Dominguez (90+8')
Dominguez (17'), Tiba (29'), Carlos (78')
Di Maria (19' pen.), Silva (53'), Musa (90+4')
Kokcu (45+4'), Luis (67'), Silva (67')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Gil Vicente
0-2
Benfica
Chiquinho (73'), Grimaldo (86' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
3-1
Gil Vicente
Mario (9' pen.), Ramos (36', 53')
Navarro (17' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 20
Benfica
1-2
Gil Vicente
Ramos (88')
Vertonghen (8'), Otamendi (30'), Goncalves (40'), Mario (53')
Lino (11'), Aburjania (64')
Navarro (26'), Carlos (68'), Andrew (74')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Gil Vicente
0-2
Benfica

de Souza Cunha (24'), Fujimoto (67'), Kritsyuk (75')
Verissimo (84'), Grimaldo (88')
Gilberto (45'), Nunez (90+1')
> Preview