Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals

Feb 8, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
1 - 2
Benfica

Petrov (68')
Samu (36'), Costa (57'), Pereira (61'), Jardel (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cabral (34'), Mario (65')
di Maria (45'), Fernandez (56'), Otamendi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Vizela and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Benfica
12.85% ( -0.07)	17.19% ( -0.03)	69.95% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.33% (

-0.06)

34.67% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.38% (

-0.07)

56.62% (

0.07)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

-0.15)

38.93% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

-0.14)

75.66% (

0.15)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.11% (

0.01)

8.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.61% (

0.02)

30.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vizela 12.85%

Benfica 69.94%

Draw 17.19%

Vizela	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 12.85%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.19%	0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.72% 0-4 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0) 0-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.94%