MX23RW : Sunday, April 21 05:38:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Portimonense

Benfica
4 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (55', 75'), Neres (57'), di Maria (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Varela (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-0 Portimonense

Benfica and Portimonense have had a contrasting campaign, with the Alvinegros scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. Both form and history are on Benfica's side this weekend and we are backing them to claim all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 5.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPortimonense
83.65% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 10.89% (0.115 0.12) 5.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.71% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.16% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)28.84% (0.821 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.22% (-1.022 -1.02)49.78% (1.015 1.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.05% (-0.172 -0.17)4.95% (0.1641 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.18% (-0.502 -0.5)19.82% (0.496 0.5)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.14% (-0.764 -0.76)50.86% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75% (-0.521 -0.52)85.25% (0.514 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 83.65%
    Portimonense 5.45%
    Draw 10.89%
BenficaDrawPortimonense
3-0 @ 11.39% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 8.57% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.279 0.28)
4-1 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-0 @ 2.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 83.65%
1-1 @ 5.11% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 10.89%
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.7% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 5.45%

How you voted: Benfica vs Portimonense

Benfica
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Portimonense
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Portimonense
1-3
Benfica
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (56')
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (35')
Bah (5'), Musa (17'), Neres (66')
May 13, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 32
Portimonense
1-5
Benfica
Pedrao (38')
Pedrao (34'), Seck (74')
Grimaldo (4'), Relvas (28' og.), Ramos (45'), Musa (87', 89')
Chiquinho (32')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
Benfica
1-0
Portimonense
Mario (9' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
Portimonense
1-2
Benfica
Junior (25')
Sergio (28'), Willyan (45+7'), Junior (45+8'), Da Costa (45+15'), Sergio (45+15'), Possignolo (63'), Luquinhas (74')
Moufi (90+5')
Grimaldo (45+7'), Ramos (50')
Vertonghen (41'), Ramos (57'), Bernardo (90+1')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Benfica
0-1
Portimonense

Yaremchuk (12'), Nunez (42')
Possignolo (66')
Boa Morte (44'), Carlinhos (60'), Possignolo (62'), Portugal (80'), Willyan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon29252284275777
2Benfica29224365234270
3Braga30195663412262
4Porto29185653233059
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes29176645291657
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao29811103136-535
9Casa Pia2988132941-1232
10SC FarenseFarense2987143841-331
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2985164350-729
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense2976163262-3027
17ChavesChaves2957172860-3222
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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