Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (55', 75'), Neres (57'), di Maria (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Varela (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 5.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
83.65% ( -0.1)	10.89% ( 0.12)	5.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.71% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.16% (

-0.83)

28.84% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.22% (

-1.02)

49.78% (

1.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.05% (

-0.17)

4.95% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.18% (

-0.5)

19.82% (

0.5)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.14% (

-0.76)

50.86% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.75% (

-0.52)

85.25% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Benfica 83.65%

Portimonense 5.45%

Draw 10.89%

Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
3-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.77% Total : 83.65%	1-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.67% Total : 10.89%	1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 5.45%