Europa League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Angel di Maria
68'
-
Orkun Kokcu
90'+2'
-
Angel di Maria
90'+8'
-
Stijn Spierings
37'
-
Carles Martinez
38'
-
Mikkel Desler
43'
-
Guillaume Restes
58'
-
Mikkel Desler
75'
-
Naatan Skytta
90'+1'
-
Christian Mawissa
90'+2'
-
Christian Mawissa
90'+6'
-
Frank Magri
90'+6'
Benfica vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fbenfica.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
68.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
18.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Toulouse
13.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
54.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
37.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
40.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
59.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
22.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
77.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
90.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
9.98%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
67.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
32.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
60.35%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
39.65%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
23.67%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
76.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Benfica
68.31%
Draw
18.11%
Toulouse
13.57%
Benfica
2-0
@
10.5%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 68.31%
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 68.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.44%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.11%
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.11%
Toulouse
1-2
@
3.9%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 13.57%
0-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 13.57%