Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.