Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Toulouse
Feb 11, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Nantes
  • Vincent Sierro 19' yellowcard
  • Yann Gboho 41' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 2'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 45'+1'
  • goal Tino Kadewere 51'

Toulouse vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
Reims 2 - 3 Toulouse
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 8.00pm
Nantes 0 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Mostafa Mohamed

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 38.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 26.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Nantes 35.01% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.34% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.74% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 51.26% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 3.5 26.91% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 73.09% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 12.59% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 87.41% ▼ (-0.21)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 74.13% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 25.87% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 39.15% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 60.85% ▼ (-0.37)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 71.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 28.05% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 36.3% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.7% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Toulouse 38.77%
Draw 26.23%
Nantes 35.01%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.39)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
Nantes
0-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Nantes
Aug 13, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Toulouse
  • Marcus Coco 2' yellowcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 13' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Logan Costa 52'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 62'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 73'
  • goal Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
Toulouse
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nantes
Coupe de France
Nantes
Apr 29, 2023 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT
Toulouse
  • Ludovic Blas 75' goal
  • goal Logan Costa 4'
  • goal Logan Costa 10'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 23'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 31'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Nantes
Aug 28, 2022 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Evann Guessand 50' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 55' goal
  • Moses Simon 61' goal
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 15'
  • yellowcard Branco van den Boomen 37'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 45'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Toulouse
Apr 18, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nantes
Dec 1, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau (Nantes)
Toulouse
  • Kader Bamba 40' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Toure 43' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 53' goal
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 8'
  • redcard Kouadio Kone 23'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Isimat-Mirin 48'
  • goal Aaron Leya Iseka 97'

Form Data

Reims 2 - 3 Toulouse
Toulouse 0 - 2 Lens
Rouen 3 - 3 Toulouse
Metz 0 - 1 Toulouse
Chambery 0 - 3 Toulouse
PSG 2 - 0 Toulouse
Nantes 0 - 1 Lens
Reims 0 - 0 Nantes
Nantes 0 - 1 Laval
Nantes 1 - 2 Clermont
Pau 1 - 4 Nantes
Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes