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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Nantes

Toulouse
1 - 2
Nantes

Dallinga (90+6')
Sierro (19'), Gboho (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohamed (2'), Kadewere (51')
Sissoko (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
38.77% (0.188 0.19)26.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)35.01% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.37 0.37)51.26% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.323 0.32)73.09% (-0.316 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.27499999999999 0.27)25.87% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.368 0.37)60.85% (-0.361 -0.36)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.124 0.12)28.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.153 0.15)63.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.77%
    Nantes 35.01%
    Draw 26.23%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
64.0%
Draw
30.0%
Nantes
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 35
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
> Match Report
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes