Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.