Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals

Feb 29, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Porto

Martins (27')
Lopes (22'), Lopes (22'), Klismahn (64'), Ferreira (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Evanilson (52'), Galeno (61')
Pepe (8'), Pepe (8'), Galeno (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Santa Clara and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, January 11 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
24.05% ( 3.97)	26.58% ( 0.79)	49.36% ( -4.76)

Both teams to score 46.35% (

2.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

0.77)

57.42% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

0.6)

78.23% (

-0.61)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.47% (

4.47)

39.53% (

-4.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.78% (

3.91)

76.21% (

-3.91)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-1.75)

23.35% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-2.62)

57.31% (

2.62)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 24.05%

Porto 49.36%

Draw 26.58%

Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.35) Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.05%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.45) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 13.42% ( -1.14) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( -1.4) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.97) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.36%