Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 11am UK
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
Santa Clara

O Elvas
1 - 1
Santa Clara

Medina (115')
Dias (79'), Djalo (87'), Nketia (90+3'), Medina (90+8'), Cardoso (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Silva (95')
Calila (25'), Ageu (62')
Santa Clara win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between O Elvas and Santa Clara.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: O Elvas 1-1 Tirsense (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Vianense
Saturday, October 21 at 12pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for O Elvas had a probability of 9.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-2 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.04%) and 0-3 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a O Elvas win it was 1-0 (3.97%).

Result
O ElvasDrawSanta Clara
9.98% (-1.037 -1.04)18.11% (-1.101 -1.1)71.91% (2.14 2.14)
Both teams to score 42.37% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (1.81 1.81)46.93% (-1.808 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (1.665 1.67)69.18% (-1.662 -1.66)
O Elvas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.876 -0.88)52.02% (0.876 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.58 -0.58)86.02% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (1.127 1.13)11.68% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (2.366 2.37)36.77% (-2.365 -2.37)
Score Analysis
    O Elvas 9.98%
    Santa Clara 71.89%
    Draw 18.11%
O ElvasDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 3.97% (-0.421 -0.42)
2-1 @ 2.79% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-0 @ 1.3% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 9.98%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.499 -0.5)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.11%
0-2 @ 14% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-3 @ 10.02% (0.545 0.55)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.55% (0.199 0.2)
0-4 @ 5.38% (0.513 0.51)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.253 0.25)
0-5 @ 2.31% (0.31 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.169 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 71.89%