Santa Clara
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Nacional

Santa Clara
1 - 1
Nacional

Klismahn (111')
Lima (25'), Serginho (30'), Manuel Velazquez (77')
FT
(aet)
Dudu (120+3' pen.)
Marakis (98'), Esteves (106')
Santa Clara win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Santa Clara and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: O Elvas 1-1 Santa Clara (1-4 pen.)
Sunday, November 26 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.35%).

Result
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
59.06% (-0.268 -0.27)21.84% (0.145 0.15)19.1% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01% (-0.45 -0.45)43.98% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63% (-0.44 -0.44)66.37% (0.44200000000001 0.44)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)14.54% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.451 -0.45)42.58% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.128 -0.13)36.85% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.127 -0.13)73.63% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 59.06%
    Nacional 19.1%
    Draw 21.83%
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Nacional

Santa Clara
83.9%
Draw
12.9%
Nacional
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
5-1
Nacional
Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-3
Santa Clara

Julio (80')
Fernando (4'), Rashid (67'), Pineda (76')
Patrick (28'), Fernando (88')