Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 4
Fulham

Morris (45+1' pen.), Doughty (55')
Sambi Lokonga (34'), Clark (48'), Doughty (59'), Morris (73'), Johnson (75')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Traore (43'), Jimenez (45+3', 49'), Wilson (68')
Reed (22'), Robinson (54'), Traore (73'), Cairney (88')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town are officially relegated from the Premier League after losing 4-2 against Fulham at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Luton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 0-4 Man City
Saturday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 47%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Fulham
30.55% ( 1.15)	22.46% ( 0.46)	47% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 65.05% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.71% (

-1.58)

35.29% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.69% (

-1.77)

57.31% (

1.77)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.09)

23.01% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

-0.14)

56.82% (

0.14)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-1.15)

15.51% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.58% (

-2.18)

44.42% (

2.17)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 30.55%

Fulham 47%

Draw 22.46%

Luton Town	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.55%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47%