Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Cullen (72')
Esteve (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wood (2', 14')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest confirm their spot as a Premier League club for next season courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Burnley in Sunday afternoon's clash at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Nottingham Forest
37.37% ( -1.19)	23.89% ( 0.47)	38.74% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 61.89% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

-2.33)

40.32% (

2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

-2.45)

62.69% (

2.45)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-1.6)

21.66% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

-2.51)

54.8% (

2.52)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

-0.67)

20.99% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

-1.06)

53.76% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Burnley 37.37%

Nottingham Forest 38.74%

Draw 23.88%

Burnley	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.74%