Premier League Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The City Ground
  • Willy Boly 16' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 74' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Dominguez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mykhaylo Mudryk 8'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 15'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 34'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 80'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 82'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 83'

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
Chelsea 5 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Nottingham Forest 34.4% (-1.72)
Draw 23.18% (-0.30)
Chelsea 42.41% (+2.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.05% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.7% (+1.12)
Under 2.5 37.3% (-1.12)
Over 3.5 40.49% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 59.51% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 22.53% (+0.96)
Under 4.5 77.46% (-0.96)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 21.82% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 44.96% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 55.03% (+0.58)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 81.93% (+1.34)
Under 0.5 18.07% (-1.34)
Over 1.5 51.01% (+2.24)
Under 1.5 48.98% (-2.24)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 34.4%
Draw 23.17%
Chelsea 42.41%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 6% (-0.41)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.37)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 34.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.69% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.94% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.17%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 8.79% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.77% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 5.01% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 3.81% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.24)
1-4 @ 2.14% (+0.22)
2-4 @ 1.63% (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.41% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 42.41%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Ben Chilwell 31' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 36' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 41'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 48'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 61'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 86'
  • yellowcard Matt Turner 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 51' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 58' goal
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 13'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 62'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 1, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Serge Aurier 63' goal
  • goal Raheem Sterling 16'
FA Cup Gameweek 3
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 6' goal
  • Ross Barkley 33' goal
  • Reece James 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 77'
FA Cup
Jan 5, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Barkley 41' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 49' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 59' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 67'
EFL Cup
Sep 20, 2017 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Kenedy 13' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 18' goal
  • Charly Musonda 40' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 53' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Hobbs 21'
  • goal Tendai Darikwa 90'

Build-up

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