Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
| 64.34% ( | 18.59% ( | 17.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.87% ( | 32.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.28% ( | 53.71% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.51% ( | 9.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.16% ( | 31.83% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( | 31.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( | 68.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 4-2 @ 2.53% ( 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.34% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 17.06% |