FA Cup
Chelsea
Mar 17, 2024 12.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Leicester
  • Marc Cucurella 13' goal
  • Cole Palmer 45'+1' goal
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 90'+2' goal
  • Noni Madueke 90'+8' goal
  • goal Axel Disasi 51' (OG)
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 62'
  • yellowcard Stephy Mavididi 67'
  • redcard Callum Doyle 73'
  • yellowcard Conor Coady 90'+6'

Chelsea vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Leicester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 47.3% ▲ (+0.63)
Draw 23.5% ▲ (+0.53)
Leicester City 29.2% ▼ (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.34% ▼ (-2.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.9% ▼ (-3.17)
Under 2.5 41.1% ▲ (+3.18)
Over 3.5 36.5% ▼ (-3.31)
Under 3.5 63.5% ▲ (+3.31)
Over 4.5 19.4% ▼ (-2.59)
Under 4.5 80.6% ▲ (+2.59)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 82.38% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 0.5 17.62% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 1.5 51.79% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 1.5 48.21% ▲ (+1.74)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 73.25% ▼ (-2.32)
Under 0.5 26.75% ▲ (+2.32)
Over 1.5 37.98% ▼ (-3.16)
Under 1.5 62.03% ▲ (+3.16)

Score analysis

Chelsea 47.3%
Draw 23.5%
Leicester City 29.2%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.90)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.57)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.32)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.65)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.5%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.49)
0-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.34)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.2%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Leicester
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Patson Daka 39' goal
  • goal Ben Chilwell 11'
  • goal Kai Havertz 45'+6'
  • goal Mateo Kovacic 78'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Chelsea
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
  • Conor Gallagher 22' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 28' redcard
  • Raheem Sterling 47' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Kai Havertz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 31'
  • yellowcard Dennis Praet 40'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 66'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Chelsea
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leicester
  • Marcos Alonso 34' goal
  • N'Golo Kante 47' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 59' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 66' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 85' yellowcard
  • goal James Maddison 6'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 64'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Leicester
Nov 20, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel Amartey 40' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 45' yellowcard
  • Kasper Schmeichel 45' yellowcard
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 14'
  • goal N'Golo Kante 28'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 65'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 71'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Chelsea
May 18, 2021 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
  • Antonio Rudiger 47' goal
  • Jorginho 66' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 87' yellowcard
  • Edouard Mendy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 32'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 76'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 82'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 89'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Pereira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Daniel Amartey 90'+5'
FA Cup
Chelsea
May 15, 2021 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Leicester
  • Timo Werner 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 36'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 63'

Form Data

Chelsea 3 - 2 Newcastle
Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds
Chelsea 0 - 1 Liverpool
Man City 1 - 1 Chelsea
Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea
Hull City 2 - 2 Leicester
Sunderland 0 - 1 Leicester
Leicester 1 - 2 QPR
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Leicester
Leeds 3 - 1 Leicester
Leicester 1 - 2 Middlesbrough

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