Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.