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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 41.89% ( | 24.66% ( | 33.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( | 44.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( | 67.01% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% | 54.33% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.44% |