Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
4 - 2
Watford

Barnes (20'), Sargent (28'), Sara (77'), Fassnacht (82')
Barnes (17'), Sargent (30'), Gibbs (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rajovic (42'), Asprilla (71')
Martins (45+1'), Porteous (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Watford
48.74% ( 0.03)	24.82% ( -0.03)	26.44% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

0.14)

48.86% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

0.13)

70.96% (

-0.12)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.07)

20.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

0.11)

52.32% (

-0.1)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

0.08)

32.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.09)

69.35% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 48.74%

Watford 26.44%

Draw 24.81%

Norwich City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.44%