/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
-
Ashley Barnes
17'
-
Ashley Barnes
20'
-
Joshua Sargent
28'
-
Joshua Sargent
30'
-
Gabriel Sara
77'
-
Christian Fassnacht
82'
-
Liam Gibbs
88'
-
Mileta Rajovic
42'
-
Matheus Martins
45'+1'
-
Yaser Asprilla
71'
-
Ryan Porteous
79'
Norwich City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result
Norwich City
48.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
24.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Watford
26.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.14%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
48.86%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
29.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
70.96%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
14.01%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
85.99%
▼
(-0.09)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
79.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
20.08%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
47.68%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
52.32%
▼
(-0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
67.21%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
32.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
30.64%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
69.35%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Norwich City
48.74%
Draw
24.81%
Watford
26.44%
Norwich City
1-0
@
10.57%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48.74%
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48.74%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
0-0 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
Watford
0-1
@
7.34%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.44%
1-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.44%
