FA Cup
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William Smallbone
21'
-
Tyler Obling
51'
-
Sekou Mara
52'
-
Sekou Mara
58'
-
Che Adams
76'
-
Samuel Edozie
86'
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Adam Armstrong
87'
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James Morris
46'
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Giorgi Chakvetadze
49'
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Ryan Porteous
69'
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Francisco Sierralta
75'
Southampton vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result
Southampton
57.92%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
21.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Watford
20.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
55.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
34.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
65.1%
Over 4.5
18.19%
Under 4.5
81.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
85.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
14.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
57.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
42.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
65.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
34.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
28.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
71.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Southampton
57.92%
Draw
21.89%
Watford
20.18%
Southampton
2-1
@
9.93%
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 57.92%
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1
@
10.27%
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
Watford
1-2
@
5.4%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 20.18%
Head to Head
FA Cup
-
Matheus Martins
5'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
45'
-
Mason Holgate
4'
-
Carlos Alcaraz
40'
-
Stuart Armstrong
89'
Championship
Gameweek
20
-
Ryan Porteous
59'
-
Ismael Kone
61'
-
Wesley Hoedt
87'
-
Rhys Healey
90'+6'
-
Shea Charles
34'
-
Adam Armstrong
45'
-
Che Adams
56'
-
Stuart Armstrong
87'
-
Ryan Fraser
90'+3'
Club Friendlies 1
Premier League
Gameweek
29
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
45'
-
Romain Perraud
48'
-
Oriol Romeu
65'
-
Jan Bednarek
76'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
14'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
34'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
60'
-
Moussa Sissoko
86'
Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
Joao Pedro
45'+2'
-
Juraj Kucka
76'
-
Che Adams
20'
-
Mohammed Salisu
55'
-
James Ward-Prowse
58'
Premier League
Gameweek
32
-
Craig Dawson
32'
-
Jan Bednarek
79'
-
Abdoulaye Doucoure
90'+5'
-
Craig Cathcart
90'+6'
-
Danny Ings
16'
-
Danny Ings
70'
-
James Ward-Prowse
82'