Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.