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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cardiff City logo

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
51.4% (0.98 0.98) 22.28% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.334 0.33)14.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.631 0.63)43.06% (-0.627 -0.63)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)26.87% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.77 -0.77)62.18% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
    Cardiff City 26.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cardiff

Plymouth Argyle
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Cardiff City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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