Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Home Park
  • Ryan Hardie 31' goal
  • Ashley Phillips 35' yellowcard
  • Mickel Miller 41' yellowcard
  • Bali Mumba 50' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hardie 52' goal
  • Dan Scarr 61' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 81' goal
  • goal Perry Ng 10'
  • yellowcard Yakou Meite 36'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 38'

Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Huddersfield 1 - 1 Plymouth
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 3 Leeds
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Perry Ng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 51.4% (+0.99)
Draw 22.28% (-0.15)
Cardiff City 26.32% (-0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.31% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.47% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.31% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.69% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.39% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.61% (-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 85.21% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 14.79% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 56.94% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 43.06% (-0.63)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 73.13% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 26.87% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 37.82% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 62.18% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
Draw 22.28%
Cardiff City 26.32%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.6% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
Cardiff City
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 26.32%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Matt Butcher 31' goal
  • Karlan Grant 47' goal
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 17'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 44'
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 66'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2017 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 49'
Championship
Dec 26, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay Bothroyd 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reda Johnson 18'
  • yellowcard Rory Fallon 29'
  • yellowcard Romain Larrieu 49'
  • yellowcard Carl Fletcher 67'
  • goal Gary Sawyer 84'
Championship
Aug 18, 2009 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gary Sawyer 24' yellowcard
  • Alan Gow 90' goal
  • goal Michael Chopra 4'
  • yellowcard Tony Capaldi 28'
  • yellowcard Adam Matthews 36'
  • goal Michael Chopra 80'
  • goal Michael Chopra 85'
  • redcard Tony Capaldi 90'
Championship
Dec 28, 2008 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay Bothroyd 81' goal
  • Roger Johnson 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 89'
Championship
Nov 22, 2008 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Emile Mpenza 39' goal
  • Paul Gallagher 41' goal
  • Luke Summerfield 90' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Chopra 62'
  • yellowcard Gavin Rae 82'