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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.4% ( 0.98) | 22.28% ( -0.15) | 26.32% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 62.31% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.53% ( 0.01) | 37.47% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.31% ( 0.01) | 59.69% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.21% ( 0.33) | 14.79% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.94% ( 0.63) | 43.06% ( -0.63) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.58) | 26.87% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% ( -0.77) | 62.18% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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