FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Home Park
  • Luke Cundle 18' goal
  • Luke Cundle 18' goal
  • Joe Edwards 65' yellowcard
  • Joe Edwards 65' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hardie 68' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 68' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 90'+1' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Kizzi 34'
  • yellowcard Joe Kizzi 34'
  • goal Lee Angol 50'
  • goal Lee Angol 50'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 60'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 60'

Plymouth Argyle vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Sutton United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 57.36% (-0.18)
Draw 21.15% (-0.02)
Sutton United 21.49% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.35% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.59% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 37.41% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 40.37% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 59.64% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 22.44% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 77.57% (-0.29)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 87.09% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 12.91% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 60.66% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 39.34% (-0.12)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 30.71% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 33.03% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 66.97% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 57.36%
Draw 21.15%
Sutton United 21.49%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.69% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.95% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 57.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.15%
Sutton United
1-2 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 21.49%