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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Newport County |
| 45.31% ( | 24.77% | 29.92% |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( | 46.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( | 68.76% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( | 20.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% | 64.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.92% |