FA Cup
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Craig Clay 52' yellowcard
  • Joe Kizzi 60' yellowcard
  • Dion Pereira 64' goal
  • Dion Pereira 74' goal
  • Omari Patrick 89' goal

Sutton United vs Horsham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Horsham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 49.03% (-2.84)
Draw 23.19% (+0.49)
Horsham 27.77% (+2.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.35% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 40.65% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 36.97% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 63.03% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 19.76% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 80.24% (+0.24)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 83.21% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 16.79% (+1.13)
Over 1.5 53.25% (-2.05)
Under 1.5 46.75% (+2.04)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% (+1.57)
Under 0.5 27.49% (-1.58)
Over 1.5 37% (+1.98)
Under 1.5 63% (-1.99)

Score analysis

Sutton United 49.03%
Draw 23.19%
Horsham 27.77%
Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.33)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.47)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.25)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.30)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.62% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.19%
Horsham
1-2 @ 6.87% (+0.43)
0-1 @ 5.96% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 3.85% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.96% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 27.77%