/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
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James Jones
64'
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James Jones
64'
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Elliot Lee
87'
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Elliot Lee
87'
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Aaron Wildig
9'
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Aaron Wildig
9'
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Aaron Wildig
9'
Wrexham vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F15%2Fwrexham.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
57.96%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
20.63%
▲
(+0.11)
Newport County
21.4%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
62.12%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.96%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
35.04%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
42.97%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
57.03%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
24.57%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
75.42%
▲
(+0.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
88.02%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
11.98%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
62.61%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
37.39%
▲
(+0.37)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
70.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
29.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
34.58%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
65.42%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Wrexham
57.96%
Draw
20.63%
Newport County
21.4%
Wrexham
2-1
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 57.96%
2-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 57.96%
Draw
1-1
@
9.15%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
Newport County
1-2
@
5.6%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%
Luke Young
12'