League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
2 - 0
Newport

Jones (64', 64'), Lee (87', 87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wildig (9'), Wildig (9'), Wildig (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Newport County
57.96% ( -0.25)	20.63% ( 0.11)	21.4% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 62.12% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.96% (

-0.33)

35.04% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.97% (

-0.37)

57.03% (

0.37)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.02% (

-0.17)

11.98% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.61% (

-0.37)

37.39% (

0.37)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.06)

29.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

-0.08)

65.42% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 57.96%

Newport County 21.4%

Draw 20.63%

Wrexham	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.96%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.4%