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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton


Biler (33'), Bugiel (69'), Currie (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sowunmi (62')
Goodliffe (44'), Goodliffe (44'), Patrick (55'), Clay (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
74.11% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)15.79% (0.394 0.39)10.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-1.698 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.27% (-2.088 -2.09)35.73% (2.081 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.2% (-2.34 -2.34)57.79% (2.333 2.33)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.77% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)8.23% (0.5731 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.22% (-1.457 -1.46)28.78% (1.45 1.45)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.65% (-1.493 -1.49)44.34% (1.486 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.59% (-1.242 -1.24)80.4% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 74.11%
    Sutton United 10.1%
    Draw 15.79%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.682 0.68)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 74.11%
1-1 @ 7.41% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.368 0.37)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.1%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Sutton
0-3
AFC Wimbledon

Beautyman (45+3'), Goodliffe (74')
Johnson (64'), Pell (80'), Tilley (86')
Al-Hamadi (65')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Sutton
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Davison (40')
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm