League Two
Gameweek
23
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-
Ben Gladwin
51'
-
Dion Conroy
69'
-
Will Wright
83'
-
Johnnie Jackson
0'
-
Josh Davison
13'
-
Joe Lewis
15'
-
Johnnie Jackson
16'
-
Ali Al-Hamadi
18'
-
Jake Reeves
27'
-
Ali Al-Hamadi
45'+3'
-
Joe Lewis
65'
-
Jack Currie
90'+8'
Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.
Result
Crawley Town
32.93%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
22.99%
▲
(+0.08)
AFC Wimbledon
44.09%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
64.28%
▼
(-0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.2%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 2.5
36.8%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
41.03%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
58.97%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
22.97%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 4.5
77.03%
▲
(+0.32)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.62%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
22.38%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
44.11%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
55.89%
▲
(+0.20)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5
82.81%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
17.19%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
52.54%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
47.46%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
32.93%
Draw
22.99%
AFC Wimbledon
44.09%
Crawley Town
2-1
@
7.59%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
1-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 32.93%
Draw
1-1
@
10.14%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.99%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
@
8.93%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%
0-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 44.09%
Head to Head
League Two
Gameweek
37
-
Ashley Nadesan
5'
EFL Trophy
-
Kyle Hudlin
29'
-
Ayoub Assal
75'
-
Kwaku Frimpong
78'
-
Jack Powell
59'
-
Kwaku Frimpong
90'+6'
(OG)
League Two
Gameweek
5
-
Tobi Omole
25'
-
Tony Craig
45'
-
Tony Craig
55'
-
Nathan Young-Coombes
15'
-
Josh Davison
37'
-
Ethan Chislett
45'+1'
-
Lee Brown
72'
FA Cup
-
Joe Pigott
22'
-
Jack Rudoni
90'+4'
-
Ashley Nadesan
30'
-
Jack Powell
45'+3'
-
Max Watters
50'
League Two
-
Connor Smith
12'
-
Jonathan Meades
61'
-
Paul Robinson
83'
-
Lyle Della Verde
83'
-
Charles Dunne
89'
League Two
-
Gwion Edwards
34'
-
Simon Walton
68'
-
Gwion Edwards
80'
-
Liam Donnelly
88'
-
Adebayo Akinfenwa
51'
-
Lyle Taylor
74'
-
Andy Barcham
76'