League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
32.93% ( 0.07)	22.99% ( 0.08)	44.09% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 64.28% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.2% (

-0.35)

36.8% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.03% (

-0.38)

58.97% (

0.38)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.12)

22.38% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.19)

55.89% (

0.19)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0.19)

17.19% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-0.35)

47.46% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 32.93%

AFC Wimbledon 44.09%

Draw 22.99%

Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 32.93%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 44.09%