League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 3
Mansfield

Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
31.26% ( -1.37)	23.29% ( 0.51)	45.44% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 62.35% (

-2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.01% (

-3.11)

38.99% (

3.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

-3.34)

61.31% (

3.33)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-2.29)

24.4% (

2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

-3.34)

58.81% (

3.33)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

-0.89)

17.52% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

-1.57)

48.03% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 31.26%

Mansfield Town 45.44%

Draw 23.29%

Crawley Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.26%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.44%