/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
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Will Evans
64'
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Chris Long
48'
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Zac Williams
72'
Newport County vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Fgraham-coughlan.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
45.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.3%
▼
(-0.01)
Crewe Alexandra
30.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
44.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
33.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
66.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
17.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
82.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
80.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
19.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
48.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
51.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
72.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
27.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
36.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
63.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Newport County
45.48%
Draw
24.3%
Crewe Alexandra
30.22%
Newport County
2-1
@
9.25%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.48%
1-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.35%
2-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.3%
2-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.3%
Crewe Alexandra
1-2
@
7.3%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.22%
0-1 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.22%