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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
1 - 1
Crewe

Evans (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Long (48')
Williams (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
45.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)30.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)44.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.22%
    Draw 24.3%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
P-P
Newport
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')

Lancashire (9')
rhs 2.0


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