MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 07:41:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
1 - 1
Crewe

Evans (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Long (48')
Williams (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Newport extended their unbeaten home form with a resolute Boxing Day display against Forest Green Rovers and we are backing them to pick up where they left off and edge out a floundering Crewe side who have failed to taste victory since late November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
45.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)44.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.22%
    Draw 24.3%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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