Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.