League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Sutton United
48.07% ( -0.2)	26.43% ( 0.08)	25.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.17% (

-0.19)

55.83% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

-0.16)

76.95% (

0.16)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.17)

23.25% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.25)

57.17% (

0.25)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

0.01)

37.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88% (

0.01)

74.12% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 48.07%

Sutton United 25.5%

Draw 26.42%

Gillingham	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.5%