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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Bradford City |
| 35.09% ( | 26.97% ( | 37.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( | 54.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( | 75.71% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( | 27.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( | 63.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.93% |