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Gillingham
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Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Crawley


Ehmer (12'), Malone (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (24'), Roles (71')
Wright (24'), Darcy (45+3'), Maguire (63'), Campbell (73'), Adeyemo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
42.02% (-0.202 -0.2)25.43% (0.111 0.11)32.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)48.31% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.418 -0.42)70.46% (0.417 0.42)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.298 -0.3)22.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.44 -0.44)56.62% (0.439 0.44)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.14% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.212 -0.21)63.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 42.02%
    Crawley Town 32.55%
    Draw 25.43%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crawley

Gillingham
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-1
Gillingham

Kelly (53'), Darcy (90+6'), Addai (90+6')
Ransom (40' og.)
Ogie (3'), Alexander (90+3'), Malone (90+4')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')