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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Sheff Weds

Adams (35'), Armstrong (63'), Fraser (75'), Mara (85')
Bednarek (56'), Armstrong (59'), Downes (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (10'), Bannan (52'), Ihiekwe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
63.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)20.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)16.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)66.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.043999999999997 0.04)13.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.083999999999996 0.08)40.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (0.035 0.04)77.04% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.21%
    Sheffield Wednesday 16.08%
    Draw 20.71%
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sheff Weds

Southampton
92.1%
Draw
5.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Sheff Weds
1-2
Southampton
Gregory (54')
Gregory (28'), Paterson (30'), Delgado (45+1'), Dawson (78')
Armstrong (8'), Adams (87')
Armstrong (27'), Manning (37'), Tella (64'), Stephens (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Sheff Weds
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties
Ward-Prowse (45+2' pen.)
Windass (24')
Sep 25, 2012 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 25, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0


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