FA Cup
Southampton
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Walsall
  • Ryan Fraser 6' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 6' goal
  • Sam Amo-Ameyaw 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sam Amo-Ameyaw 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 58' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 68' goal
  • Che Adams 78' goal

Southampton vs Walsall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Walsall

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 63.31% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 19.08% ▲ (+0.20)
Walsall 17.61% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.97% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.51% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 33.49% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 44.72% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 3.5 55.28% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 4.5 26.05% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 4.5 73.94% ▲ (+0.51)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 66.7% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 33.29% ▲ (+0.58)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5 67.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 32.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 31.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.65% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Southampton 63.31%
Draw 19.08%
Walsall 17.61%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 63.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.08%
Walsall
1-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 17.61%

Head to Head

League One
Southampton
May 7, 2011 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Walsall
  • David Connolly 29' goal
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 68' goal
  • Radhi Jaidi 69' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Gray 45'
  • yellowcard Matt Richards 70'
  • yellowcard Julian Gray 78'
League One
Walsall
Mar 1, 2011 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Jon Macken 69' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Chaplow 45'
  • yellowcard Dean Hammond 90'
League One
Southampton
Feb 27, 2010 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Walsall
  • Jason Puncheon 8' goal
  • Lee Barnard 33' goal
  • Lee Barnard 36' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 61' goal
  • Adam Lallana 89' goal
  • goal Matt Richards 3'
  • yellowcard Darryl Westlake 40'
  • yellowcard Troy Deeney 90'
League One
Walsall
Dec 5, 2009 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Southampton
  • Mark Bradley 39' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 41' yellowcard
  • Darren Byfield 66' goal
  • Rhys Weston 69' yellowcard
  • Mark Hughes 76' yellowcard
  • goal David Connolly 32'
  • goal Dean Hammond 38'
  • yellowcard Dan Harding 63'
  • goal Rickie Lambert 65'
  • yellowcard Radhi Jaidi 78'

Form Data

Norwich 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 2 - 1 Plymouth
Southampton 5 - 0 Swansea
QPR 0 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 4 - 0 Blackburn
Coventry 1 - 1 Southampton
Grimsby Town 1 - 6 Walsall
Walsall 3 - 1 Wrexham
Walsall 2 - 0 Crewe
Accrington 2 - 1 Walsall
Walsall 1 - 0 Tranmere
Walsall 1 - 0 Alfreton