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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
| 36.9% ( | 26.94% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( | 54.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( | 75.53% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( | 28.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% ( | 64% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( | 64.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.16% |