League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Wrexham

Austin (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McClean (13')
Jones (70')
Jones (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Wrexham
38.96% ( 0.31)	23.46% ( 0.02)	37.57% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 63.56% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.84% (

-0.15)

38.15% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57% (

-0.16)

60.42% (

0.15)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

0.08)

19.94% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

0.13)

52.09% (

-0.14)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

-0.24)

20.6% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-0.37)

53.14% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 38.96%

Wrexham 37.57%

Draw 23.45%

Swindon Town	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.96%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.57%