League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT County Ground
  • Charlie Austin 61' yellowcard
  • goal James McClean 13'
  • yellowcard James Jones 70'
  • redcard James Jones 74'

Swindon Town vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Tranmere 2 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jake Young

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Wrexham 2 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 38.96% (+0.32)
Draw 23.46% (+0.03)
Wrexham 37.57% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.56% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.84% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 38.15% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 39.57% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 60.42% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 21.8% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 78.19% (+0.12)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.05% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 19.94% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 47.9% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 52.09% (-0.15)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 79.39% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 20.6% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 46.85% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 53.14% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 38.96%
Draw 23.45%
Wrexham 37.57%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.44% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.34% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 38.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.57%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
5
5
HT : 1 4
FT Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
  • Jake Bickerstaff 29' goal
  • Elliot Lee 51' goal
  • James Jones 55' goal
  • Will Boyle 76' yellowcard
  • James Jones 90'+2' goal
  • Elliot Lee 90'+6' goal
  • goal Jake Young 17'
  • yellowcard Tom Brewitt 20'
  • goal Charlie Austin 27'
  • goal Dan Kemp 31'
  • goal Jake Young 34'
  • yellowcard Dan Kemp 56'
  • yellowcard Frazer Blake-Tracy 64'
  • goal Dan Kemp 71'
League Two
Jan 13, 2007 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sofiane Zaaboub 9' goal
  • Curtis Weston 55' yellowcard
  • Christian Roberts 71' goal
  • goal Marc Williams 8'
  • yellowcard Paul Mitchell 37'
  • yellowcard Lee Roche 56'
  • yellowcard Simon Spender 63'
League Two
Sep 9, 2006 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Williams 27' yellowcard
  • Lee Roche 34' yellowcard
  • Ryan Valentine 68' goal
  • Mark Jones 69' goal
  • goal Paul Evans 28'
  • yellowcard Aaron Brown 58'
  • yellowcard Peter Brezovan 69'
  • yellowcard Lee Peacock 79'
League One
Mar 19, 2005 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Sam Parkin 40' goal
  • Sam Parkin 76' goal
  • Grant Smith 80' goal
  • Sam Parkin 90' goal
  • goal Juan Ugarte 16'
  • goal Hector Sam 32'
  • yellowcard Chris Llewellyn 84'
League One
Aug 7, 2004 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dennis Lawrence 24' goal
  • Andy Holt 66' yellowcard
  • Chris Armstrong 73' goal
  • Darren Ferguson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Gurney 57'