Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • goal Jan Bednarek 4'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 38'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 57'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 60'

Rotherham United vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Hakeem Odofin

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
Swansea 1 - 3 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result

Rotherham United 13.28% (-0.20)
Draw 18.38% (+0.13)
Southampton 68.34% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.62% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 39.37% (+1.06)
Over 3.5 38.28% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 61.71% (+1.12)
Over 4.5 20.78% (-0.89)
Under 4.5 79.22% (+0.89)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 58.63% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 41.37% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 22.11% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 77.89% (+0.87)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 89.48% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 10.52% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 65.79% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 34.21% (+0.62)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 13.28%
Draw 18.38%
Southampton 68.33%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 3.84% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.65% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 18.38%
Southampton
0-2 @ 11.03% (+0.29)
0-1 @ 9.8% (+0.37)
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.28% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 7.31% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 4.66% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 4.12% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.13)
0-5 @ 2.1% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 68.33%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Stuart Armstrong 2' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 33' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 31'
  • yellowcard Christ Tiehi 68'
  • goal Jordan Hugill 74'
  • yellowcard Sam Clucas 76'
  • yellowcard Dexter Lembikisa 84'
  • yellowcard Georgie Kelly 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Arvin Appiah 90'+4'