Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.