Championship
Gameweek
28
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsoulog.png)
-
Jamie Paterson
40'
-
Jay Fulton
45'+2'
-
Harry Darling
78'
-
Che Adams
6'
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
17'
-
William Smallbone
20'
-
Flynn Downes
45'
-
Shea Charles
90'+6'
Swansea City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Frussell-martin.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result
Swansea City
34.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
23.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Southampton
41.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
62.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
39.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
37.95%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
62.04%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
20.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
79.48%
▼
(-0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
77.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
22.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
43.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
56.53%
▼
(-0.05)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
80.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
19.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
48.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
51.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Swansea City
34.61%
Draw
23.68%
Southampton
41.71%
Swansea City
2-1
@
7.92%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.61%
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.61%
Draw
1-1
@
10.71%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.68%
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.68%
Southampton
1-2
@
8.8%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82%
2-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.71%
0-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82%
2-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.71%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
24
-
Joe Aribo
17'
-
Jan Bednarek
34'
-
Joe Aribo
38'
-
Samuel Edozie
48'
-
Ryan Fraser
74'
-
Ryan Fraser
87'
-
Che Adams
90'+3'
-
Liam Cullen
24'
-
Josh Tymon
55'
-
Jay Fulton
56'
-
Joe Allen
83'
FA Cup
-
Ryan Bennett
43'
-
Brandon Cooper
45'+1'
-
Liam Walsh
59'
-
Joel Piroe
77'
-
Yan Dhanda
90'+3'
-
Jan Bednarek
94'
-
Yan Valery
3'
-
Nathan Redmond
8'
-
Yan Valery
30'
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
95'
-
Shane Long
102'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Mohammed Salisu
13'
-
Nathan Tella
14'
-
Nathan Redmond
22'
-
Stuart Armstrong
57'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Che Adams
6'
-
Nathan Redmond
13'
-
Danny Ings
20'
-
James Ward-Prowse
34'
-
Ryan Bertrand
35'
-
Danny Ings
42'
-
James Ward-Prowse
45'
-
Jay Fulton
110'
Premier League
-
Ki Sung-yueng
20'
-
Federico Fernandez
94'
-
Oriol Romeu
38'
-
Manolo Gabbiadini
72'
Premier League
-
Nathan Redmond
16'
-
Oriol Romeu
33'
-
Jay Fulton
90'