Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 3
Southampton

Paterson (40')
Fulton (45+2'), Darling (78')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Adams (6'), Smallbone (20'), Downes (45')
Harwood-Bellis (17'), Charles (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Southampton
34.61% ( 0.02)	23.68% ( -0.01)	41.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.24% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

0.03)

39.69% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.95% (

0.03)

62.04% (

-0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.02)

22.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

0.04)

56.53% (

-0.04)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

19.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

0.01)

51.14% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 34.61%

Southampton 41.71%

Draw 23.68%

Swansea City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 41.71%