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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)37.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)26.06% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 36.06%
    Swansea City 37.85%
    Draw 26.08%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
68.8%
Draw
3.1%
Swansea City
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Swansea
1-1
Birmingham
Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')