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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 36.06% ( | 26.09% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( | 50.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( | 72.48% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( | 27.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( | 62.45% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.85% |